IMF warns global economic outlook growth to slow in 2024

Director of the IMF Research Department Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas lifts a copy of the World Economic Outlook (WEO) in Marrakesh on October 10, 2023.   -  
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AFP

The world economy is losing momentum in the face of higher interest rates, the ongoing war in Ukraine and widening geopolitical rifts, the International Monetary Fund warned on Tuesday.

The IMF said it expects global economic growth to slow to 2.9% in 2024 from an expected 3% this year.

The forecast for next year is down a notch from the 3% it predicted back in July.

The deceleration comes at a time when the world has yet to fully mend from a devastating but short-lived COVID-19 recession in 2020.

A series of shocks, including the pandemic and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, has slashed worldwide economic output by about $3.7 trillion over the past three years compared with pre-COVID trends.

“We see a global economy that is limping along," IMF chief economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas told reporters ahead of the IMF and World Bank’s fall meetings this week in Marrakech, Morocco.

The IMF expectation of 3% growth this year is down from 3.5% in 2022 but unchanged from its July projections.  The news isn’t all bad.

The world economy has displayed “remarkable resilience," Gourinchas said, at a time when the U.S. Federal Reserve and other central banks worldwide have aggressively raised interest rates to combat a resurgence in inflation.

The hikes have helped ease price pressures without putting many people out of work. 

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